Six rebel members of parliament from Uddhav Thackeray's Shiv Sena (UBT) faction missed a key party event in Maharashtra, fueling speculation of a split [1].

This development threatens the stability of Thackeray's leadership during a period of intense political maneuvering in the state. If these lawmakers defect, it could weaken the party's legislative leverage and disrupt the current balance of power within the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) coalition.

The event was intended to mark 60 years of the Shiv Sena [1]. The absence of these six lawmakers, including party leader Sanjay Raut, has led to reports of an internal power struggle over leadership and seat-sharing arrangements [1], [3].

Allegations have surfaced regarding monetary inducements to secure the defection of these members. Reports said that some rebel MPs were offered up to Rs 15 crore each to switch sides [2]. These efforts are reportedly aimed at further fracturing the Uddhav-led faction and benefiting the Eknath Shinde faction [2], [3].

However, the narrative of a total collapse is contested. While some reports highlight the absence of the MPs, other data suggests the MVA has largely finalized its seat-sharing arrangement, which indicates continued cooperation among its partners [4].

Adding to the internal friction is a dispute over the Maharashtra MLC poll. The Congress party and Uddhav's Shiv Sena have reportedly clashed over the distribution of two seats [5]. This tussle over legislative representation adds another layer of instability to the party's internal dynamics as it navigates the pressure from the Shinde camp [4], [5].

Six rebel members of parliament from Uddhav Thackeray's Shiv Sena (UBT) faction missed a key party event

The potential defection of six MPs suggests that the Shiv Sena (UBT) remains vulnerable to the same poaching tactics that led to the original split with Eknath Shinde. While the MVA coalition may have a formal seat-sharing agreement, the reported monetary offers and disagreements over MLC seats indicate that individual ambitions and financial incentives continue to challenge party discipline in Maharashtra's volatile political landscape.