Mexico recorded 27,989 presumed homicides in 2025, representing a 16.6% decline from the previous year [1].
This decrease marks the steepest reduction in homicide rates the country has seen in more than 12 years. The data suggests a shift in the trajectory of national violence, though several regions remain volatile.
According to the Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI), there were 5,561 fewer homicides in 2025 than in 2024 [1]. This trend brought the national homicide rate down to 21.4 per 100,000 inhabitants [4].
While the nationwide trend is downward, the distribution of violence remains uneven. State-level data shows that regions such as Sinaloa, Chihuahua, and Nuevo León continue to face significant challenges. Chihuahua specifically reduced its homicide count in 2025, yet it remains among the states with the highest number of cases in the country [6].
Earlier reporting on the year's progress indicated that 14,488 presumed homicides occurred during the first half of 2025 [5]. The final preliminary figures for the full year confirm that the downward trend persisted through the second half of the period.
INEGI officials said the data is preliminary. The agency did not provide specific causes for the reduction in the reported figures [1].
“Mexico recorded 27,989 presumed homicides in 2025, representing a 16.6% decline from the previous year.”
The significant drop in homicides indicates a potential stabilization of conflict between organized crime groups or a change in the effectiveness of state security strategies. However, the persistence of high violence levels in specific states like Sinaloa suggests that while the national average is improving, systemic instability remains localized in key strategic corridors.
