President Donald J. Trump's approval ratings have fallen to historic lows in multiple national polls released in late July 2026 [4].
These figures emerge as the administration faces the November 2026 midterm elections. The decline suggests a weakening mandate at a critical juncture for the Republican party's legislative control.
Data from the American Research Group indicates that approximately 30% [1] of Americans approve of the president's job performance. This represents the lowest figure recorded in any poll during this term [1]. Other reports suggest the approval rating sits at roughly one-third of the population [2].
Conversely, disapproval levels have surged. A CNN/SSRS poll shows disapproval at 71% [3], which is the highest level recorded for any president in a second term [3]. Other polling data places the disapproval rate at 70% [1].
Analysts cite several factors for the slide in popularity. These include the ongoing war in Iran and the pressure of rising fuel prices [1], [4]. There are also indications that the president has focused on rewarding Republican loyalty over broader policy successes, a strategy that may be alienating some of his own base [2].
"Trump has been prioritising Republican loyalty ahead of success in the midterm elections as support from even his own party wavers," Jared Mondschein said [2].
Polls released between July 29 and July 30 [4] indicate a trend of eroding support that spans across various demographics. The combination of international conflict and domestic economic strain has created a volatile environment for the administration as it enters the final stretch before the midterms.
“Only about 30% of Americans say they approve of President Trump’s job performance.”
The intersection of record-low approval and the upcoming midterm elections creates a precarious situation for the administration. Historically, high disapproval ratings during midterms often lead to significant losses for the sitting president's party. The specific drivers of this decline—foreign war and energy costs—are volatile issues that could further mobilize opposition voters while depressing turnout among disillusioned supporters.
